2022 MLB winter meetings updates, rumors and predictions

Winter baseball meetings are back for the first time since 2019!

All the signs are pointing to an action-packed week of rumours, signings and trades in San Diego – and we’ve got everything covered for you right here, from our MLB experts’ predictions for the meetings to the latest updates and analysis of the moves going down .

When will Aaron Judge decide whether to stay with the New York Yankees or join the San Francisco Giants or another admirer? Which of the four-star shortstops in this year’s free agent class found a home first? And where will Carlos Rodon end up as the last remaining ace after Jacob deGrom made waves with his joining the Rangers and Justin Verlander, followed by a signing with the New York Mets? Check out our forecasts and update often for the latest information throughout the week.

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Latest news, rumors, updates from San Diego

Monday, December 5th

Phillies give Turner a $300 million deal

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Shortstop Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies have agreed an 11-year, $300 million deal, a source told ESPN.


Mets Get Verlander – How Will Ace’s Other Worshipers React?

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Justin Verlander has found a new home and is joining the Mets on a two-year, $86 million contract, sources confirmed to ESPN’s Jeff Passan on Monday. The Mets — desperate to fill gaps in their rotation as Jacob deGrom joins the Rangers and Chris Bassitt and Taijuan Walker are still free agents — now have six Cy Young awards on their staff between Verlander and Max Scherzer — two future Hall of Famers who have maintained their peaks well into their late 30s.

And now many teams have to switch.

Verlander’s market was particularly robust as it only needed a short-term contract and was not tied to a qualified offer. But many teams have yet to start pitching. The Astros, Verlander’s former team, couldn’t do it given their depth. But the Blue Jays and the Dodgers, previously linked with Verlander, certainly do. The Rangers and the Angels, who signed Tyler Anderson earlier in the offseason, could add something else. And many others – including the Braves, Orioles, Cardinals and Phillies – need to increase their rotations.

Carlos Rodon is by far the best starting pitcher left and will attract plenty of interest this week. But the retail market will also pick up. One team to keep an eye on is the Marlins, who are interested in using their initial pitching depth in the organization to bolster their offense. They would prefer to add a midfielder. Above all, Pablo Lopez was bought. – Alden Gonzalez


Latest information on the top four free agent shortstops

The shortstop market is far from being tapped. With four players being sought by up to 10 teams, it may take a while. But the deeper we get into the offseason, the less likely it becomes that any of them will re-sign with their old teams, according to one executive. (The exception is Carlos Correa, who could return to the Twins as an old-team/new-team signing of sorts). There’s no good indication of who might sign first. – Jesse Rogers


Why Verlander could be the next big name to sign

There is an expectation that Verlander will sign soon after deGrom is no longer on the board. A majority of executives firmly believe he will leave Astros. -Rogers


How early pitcher signings have set the bar

The market ($11-13 million per year) for the second tier of free agent pitchers has been determined. The talks are now about complete packages. Mike Clevinger got a year. Zach Eflin has three. Agents like the Eflin package, which totaled $40 million. -Rogers

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Predictions for winter meetings

Who will be the biggest name to sign in San Diego?

Bradford Doolittle: Jeff Passan recently wrote that there is a good chance Aaron Judge’s free hand will end before the winter meetings are over. Judge is the biggest name in the free agent market. So you don’t have to be Aristotle to see the logic in declaring that Judge will be the greatest name to sign.

Buster Olney: Judge’s situation is very similar to deGrom’s – he’ll get a super contract as the top free agent on the board, but there aren’t many applicants. It seems likely he’s already heard the best offer he’s going to hear from the Giants and the Yankees. Agents not involved in the negotiations predict he will do something in the next 24 to 48 hours.

Joon Lee: Judge. There will be a massive domino effect after he signs and likely sets the market for the largest deal. The Yankees will be framing so many of their offseason plans around the outcome of what happens to the Slugger and how they’re spending this offseason, especially with a fanbase more impatient for a championship than ever.

David Schoenfield: Judge makes sense. Since he actually has fewer teams fighting for his signature than some marquee players, he only has one decision to make. His market is independent of everyone else, while players in other positions – like the four shortstops – can benefit from waiting for the dominoes to start falling, Judge has no benefit from waiting. And if it’s just between the Yankees and the Giants, that decision can come in San Diego.

Jess Rogers: Justin Verlander. He doesn’t seem like a “wait until February” type. His market isn’t necessarily tied to Judge. Pitchers are starting to sign, and Verlander should sooner rather than later. He’s also unique compared to these other pitchers in that he’s older, which means he’s probably not a guy looking for opt-outs and things like that.


Which rumor will dominate the week?

Olney: Verlander’s situation, which may mirror what happened a few years ago with Trevor Bauer’s free agency, with a showdown between the Dodgers and the Mets. Coming from a Cy Young Award, he’s a future Hall of Famer and will make an immediate impact – and both teams need him.

The Mets just lost another future Hall Famer in deGrom and have massive holes in their rotation and could really use a plug-and-play star — and Verlander’s contract structure (high salary, short-term deal) suits the Dodgers’ preferences. With Bauer, the Mets thought they signed the right-hander before the Dodgers rushed in at the end to rip Bauer away; Both sides will be aware of this history as they go through the process.

There’s a lot of talk in the front offices that Max Scherzer and Verlander might not be best friends and whether that factor could influence the Mets’ pursuit of Verlander, but remember — back in Buck Showalter’s days with the Diamondbacks, he nailed Curt Schilling and Randy Johnson, Hall of Fame caliber pitchers who weren’t close but of course shoved each other.

Doolittle: Of all the shortstop-related scuttlebutt, the twins’ pursuit of Carlos Correa seems to be the most advanced story arc. That suggests Correa could be the first domino to fall in the derby to land him, Trea Turner, Xander Bogaerts or Dansby Swanson. Maybe that doesn’t mean Minnesota ends up having a big press conference to announce Correa will be returning to the Twin Cities — or maybe it does. But I could definitely see Correa discussions looming over the meetings, not just because he’s a star player himself, but because his signing could set off a chain reaction through the rest of the market.

Schoenfield: I’ll go with all the rumors surrounding the Mets. With three starters and their two best setup removers of 2022 all in free agency, they have some big moves ahead — which could potentially include a splash, like signing Verlander to join deGrom on their rotation substitute. But they’ll need at least one other starting pitcher after that, maybe two, some helpers… oh, and a midfielder to replace Brandon Nimmo if he signs elsewhere. The Mets say they want to hold on to their prospects, and while Francisco Alvarez is untouchable, they may need to consider some trades as well.

Lee: I’m so excited to see what’s going to happen with Xander Bogaerts’ situation in Boston. The Red Sox’s front office — both private and public — has dramatically changed its tone in its willingness to give him a big contract. While there are certainly business reasons for not signing Bogaerts — particularly given how long he will remain a shortstop — the fanbase grew increasingly angry at the organization over the stance on signing star players that began with the Mookie Betts act . With Bogaerts gone, Boston will have to be aggressive in the free hand to improve the team because the Red Sox Nation’s patience is waning.

Rogers: No matter where you turn, the topic will no doubt find its way to Judge. Will he leave New York or not? It’s not exactly the same story as Babe Ruth leaving the Red Sox for the Yankees — but it’s pretty damn close.

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/35155817/2022-mlb-winter-meetings-updates-news-rumors-predictions 2022 MLB winter meetings updates, rumors and predictions

Emma Bowman

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