Big 12 college football betting preview – Odds, picks, predictions

Winning the Big 12 will not be an easy task as the conference features reigning conference winner Kansas State and national finalist TCU. Texas and Oklahoma are entering their final seasons in the conference, led by two Heisman Trophy contenders, the Longhorns’ QBs Quinn Ewers (+1000) and Dillon Gabriel (+3000).
While Texas and Oklahoma bid farewell, this season’s conference adds a quartet of teams in Houston, Cincinnati, UCF and BYU.
What will the conference look like this fall and what should bettors know ahead of week 1?
We’ve got everything you need to know to start betting on the Big 12 ahead of the 2023 season.
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favorite futures
Texas wins the Big 12 (+100)
Over 9.5 wins (-145)
Texas makes College Football Playoffs (+300)
Write it down, take a picture. I am All the Way facing Steve Sarkisian’s Longhorns this season… but narrowly missing out on a national championship win. That elusive feat could still be a few years away.
I’ve seen Texas as favorites in 11 of 12 games this season, with the only difference coming on Sept. 9 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama against the Crimson Tide. This roster is absolutely stacked, with 15 starters returning from last year’s 8-5 team that suffered all five losses by a single score. Quarterback Quinn Ewers is at center for the second time, is 10-1 second on the Heisman odds list and is being pushed by a well-stocked quarterback room that includes Maalik Murphy and esteemed recruit Arch Manning. It doesn’t hurt that Texas is bringing back its entire starting offensive line from a year ago, not to mention receivers Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington.
Whatever the value, my optimism isn’t just rooted in Texas’ upside. Take a look at the rest of the Big 12. Oklahoma will be better than last year’s 6-7 season, but the Sooners won’t be among the elite. TCU is on the brink of regression after running 13-2 last year, Oklahoma State is in retreat and reigning conference champion Kansas State has to replace half of its starters from last season. If you scour the landscape, what programs really have what it takes to seriously compete with the Longhorns?
What happens when this team shocks the world on September 9th? I shudder as I think. –Joe Fortenbaugh
Oklahoma State on 6.5 wins (-105) and Big 12 titles (+2800)
I think the headlines have distracted people when it comes to Mike Gundy’s Cowboys. Lots of pokes are hitting the transfer portal, and they’ll almost certainly need transfer quarterback Alan Bowman to both be successful and stay in the lineup. But I like their depth more than I thought they would, and I think their defense could bounce back. I see them on par with Baylor and Texas Tech, only their winning and title odds are much more weather friendly. –Bill Connelly
Notable Playlines
Texas near Alabama (-7)
Saturday, September 9, 7 p.m. ET on ESPN, Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Oregon (-3) at Texas Tech
Saturday, September 9, 7 p.m. ET, Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas
Oklahoma vs. Texas (-7)
Saturday, October 7th, Cotton Bowl, Dallas, Texas
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