The Boston Celtics, the consensus betting favorite to win the 2022-23 NBA title, have the highest predicted total winnings for next season at 54.5 according to Caesars Sportsbook, which released its numbers on Wednesday.
The Phoenix Suns have the second-highest total at 53.5, followed by the defending champions Golden State Warriors and Milwaukee Bucks at 52.5.
With Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving embroiled in a wild offseason fraught with trade rumors and public discord, the Brooklyn Nets (45.5) represent a unique bookmaker uncertainty for the season ahead.
“We just have to move on from what we know now,” Adam Pullen, deputy commercial director of Caesars Sportsbook, told ESPN. “One thing I don’t know much about is predicting where players are going. if [Durant or Irving] is traded, then we have to adjust to the news.”
Eric Fenstermaker, Caesars Sportsbook Senior Trading Manager, said: “[45.5] is sort of in the middle. If Durant and Kyrie stick with it, it will be higher. If Durant goes, it will be lower. We just have to anticipate what bettors are going to do and go from there.”
FanDuel and DraftKings have also already posted their overall wins, with DraftKings opting not to offer a Brooklyn total, and FanDuel also goes for the Nets at 45.5.
A team of eight Caesars oddsmakers independently compiled their own winning totals for each team, and Pullen released a consensus number. The nets presented the greatest challenge, but the teams with the highest and lowest totals also complicated the process.
“[The Spurs] have been good since I grew up. Now how bad are they going to be in a complete rebuild?” Pullen said of a San Antonio franchise that traded All-Star Dejounte Murray to Atlanta and has the lowest totals with the Houston Rockets and Indiana Pacers at 24.5. “And at the top, now with load management, [good] Teams don’t value winning very much in the regular season.”
Totals at FanDuel and DraftKings are broadly consistent with Caesars’ opening totals, though some teams differ by a win or two. A notable position is FanDuel and DraftKings offering the Memphis Grizzlies at 48.5 while Caesars has 50.5.
The Grizzlies went 56-26 last season, surpassing their overall wins (42.5) by 13.5 games. The finished in second place behind the Cleveland Cavaliers (44-38), who surpassed their winning total by 18.5 games.
“I made it to 51.5. I like her. … I’m definitely higher on the Grizzlies than the market,” said Fenstermaker.
After missing the playoffs, LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers have 44.5 wins. That’s the same number as the New Orleans Pelicans, who will welcome 22-year-old All-Star and former top overall winner Zion Williamson back from injury. Seven other Western Conference teams, including Kawhi Leonard and the LA Clippers, have higher win totals.
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/34378447/boston-celtics-open-top-projected-win-total-followed-suns-warriors-bucks Boston Celtics open with top projected win total for 2022-23 NBA season, followed by Suns, Warriors, Bucks