Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins: Betting odds, lines and picks

The Chargers will play prime time after coming on as a substitute against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday Night Football. It could be another disappointing week for Chargers fans, but NFL games don’t get played on paper.

Miami Dolphins (-3.5, 52) at Chargers

Between the two LA games this week, this is the bet I like more and it has a lot to do with why I liked the Raiders vs the Chargers last week. The loss of Corey Linsley completely changes that offense. Linsley remains on concussion protocol but was a full participant in practice on Thursday. Unfortunately, Trey Pipkins III seems dodgy again, so the Chargers will be up against it when it comes to protecting Justin Herbert.

Herbert threw 335 yards last week but that was 47 attempts. The Chargers averaged just 5.2 yards per game and 3.3 yards per carry against a terrible Raiders defense. Miami’s stats are more akin to league average defense, so it looks like hard sledding again for a one-dimensional offense with cluster injuries in the trenches.

To make matters worse, the Dolphins bring a top-five offense to SoFi Stadium against a defense that just doesn’t seem to be moving forward. While the Raiders were held at 27 points last week, they still have 404 yards and 6.8 yards per game. The Dolphins lead the NFL in yards per reception and are second behind the Chiefs in yards per game.

The trip isn’t even a helping factor for the Chargers here, since Miami stayed on the West Coast after last week’s game against the 49ers. Perhaps Tua Tagovailoa’s ankle injury is worse than what we’ve heard so far, but he can opt for a defense that ranks 31st in yards per game allowed and 27th in pressure% in pro football reference.

With injuries on the offensive line, the Chargers are unlikely to be able to match in a shootout, forecasting this game with the second-highest total on the board.

Selection: Dolphins -3 Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins: Betting odds, lines and picks

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