College football week 5 betting trends: Odds ATS, tips, stats

Week 5 of the college football season sees more teams across the country starting their conference schedule, including five matchups between ranked teams in the AP Top 25.

No. 2 Alabama takes on No. 20 Arkansas in Fayetteville, No. 7 Kentucky will travel to Oxford to take on No. 13 Ole Miss in a battle of undefeated SEC teams, No. 22 Wake Forest takes on No. 23 Florida State at No. 5 Clemson welcomes No. 10 NC State at Memorial Stadium for a primetime ACC showdown on ABC.

But what games should bettors be watching this weekend?

We’ve got everything you need to start making your betting decisions ahead of week 5.

View all betting notes and trends courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information.


Thursday

blank State of Utah ranked 19th by BYU (-24, 61.5)
8 p.m. ET on ESPN, LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo

  • Utah State is one of four FBS teams to go 0-4 ATS this season.

  • Utah State has been a double-digit underdog since the start of the 2017 season at 2-10 ATS (1-1 ATS under Blake Anderson).

  • Kalani Sitake is 3-2 SU and ATS against Utah State since becoming BYU head coach.

  • The 24-point spread is the widest BYU has favored against Utah State since 2008 (-29).

Friday

blankblank No. 15 Washington at UCLA (-3.5, 64.5)
10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, Rose Bowl, Pasadena

  • Washington is one of eight FBS teams to have a 4-0 ATS this season.

  • All five Washington road games have fallen below the total since the start of last season.

  • UCLA is 4-1 ATS in its last five games against Washington.

  • Away favorites this season are 5:0 SU, 3:2 ATS in the Pac-12 game.

Saturday

blankblank No. 4 Michigan (-10, 42.5) in Iowa
12 p.m. ET, Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City

  • Iowa has been 9-2 ATS against AP top five teams since the start of the 2008 season.

  • Michigan is 11-4 ATS favorites since the start of last season, the best coverage ratio in the Big Ten over that period (min. 10 games a favorite).

  • Seven of Michigan’s last eight road games have exceeded the total.

  • Michigan has lost four straight games in Iowa (2-2 ATS).

blankblank No. 7 Kentucky at No. 14 Ole Miss (-7, 54.5)
12 p.m. ET on ESPN, Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford

  • Kentucky has been 15-5-2 ATS against AP teams since the start of the 2015 season.

  • 15 of Kentucky’s 20 away games have fallen below the total since the start of the 2018 season.

  • This is the biggest favorite Ole Miss has had against an AP Top 10 team since FBS and FCS split in 1978.

  • Ole Miss is 0-3 ATS as a favorite against AP Top 10 teams since FBS/FBS split in 1978.

blankblank No. 18 Oklahoma (-3, 46) at TCU
12 p.m. ET on ABC, Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth

  • Oklahoma is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against TCU.

  • Oklahoma’s over is 15-3 after a straight loss since the start of the 2012 season.

  • TCU has been 1-5 ATS as underdogs since the start of last season.

  • Away favorites are 12-6 SU and 8-9-1 ATS in Big 12 play since the start of last season (Oklahoma 0-3 ATS at this point).

blankblank Purdue ranked 21st Minnesota (-10.5, 53.5)
12 p.m. ET on ESPN2, Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis

  • Minnesota is one of eight FBS teams to have a 4-0 ATS this season.

  • Minnesota has been a double-digit favorite in three of their four games this season (3-0 ATS in those games).

  • Purdue has been a street underdog since the start of the 2014 season at 19-7 ATS (8-4 ATS at this point under Jeff Brohm).

  • Purdue is 10-4 ATS against AP-ranked teams under Jeff Brohm, the best coverage percentage in the Big Ten in that span.

blankblankTexas Tech in Kansas State (-7.5, 57.5)
3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan

  • Kansas State has been 4-0-1 ATS against Texas Tech since the start of the 2017 season.

  • Kansas State is 12-5-1 ATS as a favorite under Chris Klieman, the best coverage ratio as a favorite in the Big 12 since the start of the 2019 season.

  • Texas Tech has been 2-4 SU and ATS vs AP ranked opponents since the start of last season.

  • Favorites by seven or more points are 0-3 ATS in Big 12 play this season.

blankblank Oregon State ranked 12th Utah (-10.5, 56.5)
2 p.m. ET, Rice Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City

  • Oregon State is one of eight FBS teams to have a 4-0 ATS this season.

  • Oregon State has been a double-digit underdog since the start of the 2020 season, going 4-0 ATS.

  • Oregon State is 10-2 ATS as a street underdog since the start of the 2019 season, the best coverage ratio among the Power 5 programs over that period (min. 5 games as a street underdog).

  • Utah is a double-digit favorite this season at 3-0 ATS.

blankblank No. 2 Alabama (-16.5, 61.5) at No. 20 Arkansas
3:30 p.m. ET, Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville

  • Alabama has never lost directly to Arkansas under Nick Saban (8-6-1 ATS).

  • Alabama is 18-6 SU, 12-12 ATS on the way against AP’s top-20 SEC opponents under Nick Saban.

  • Arkansas is 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS after a straight loss under Sam Pittman.

  • Arkansas has not beaten an AP top-five team since 2007 (0-17 SU, 8-9 ATS).

blankblank Rutgers in State #3 Ohio (-41, 59.5)
3:30 p.m. ET, Ohio Stadium, Columbus

  • Rutgers is 7-1 ATS as an underdog on the road since the start of the 2020 season, the best such coverage percentage in the Big Ten over the period (min. 5 games as an underdog on the road).

  • All eight of Rutgers’ away games since the start of last season have fallen below the total.

  • Ohio State is 9-4 ATS at home in Big Ten play under Ryan Day.

  • Ohio State is 17-9-1 ATS as a favorite in the Big Ten game under Ryan Day.

blankblank #9 Oklahoma State at #16 Baylor (-2.5, 54.5)
3:30 p.m. ET, McLane Stadium, Waco

  • Oklahoma State has been going 5-0 ATS since the start of last season; 1 of 3 teams in the FBS with an unbeaten ATS record since the start of last season (min. 2 away games).

  • Oklahoma State is 10-2 ATS as an underdog since the start of the 2018 season, the best such coverage ratio in the FBS over that period (min. 2 games as an underdog).

  • Baylor is 3-0 ATS against AP top 10 teams since the start of last season.

  • Baylor has been a 6-1 ATS as a home favorite since the start of last season.

blankblankNorthwest at #11 Penn State (-25.5, 52)
3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, Beaver Stadium, University Park

  • Northwestern has been 0-5 ATS in road games since the start of last season.

  • Northwestern is 0-5 ATS in the last five games after losing straight away.

  • Penn State is 4-8 ATS when favored by 20 or more in Big Ten games under James Franklin.

  • Penn State has been 4-7 ATS as the home favorite in Big Ten play since the start of the 2019 season.

blankblank No. 22 Wake Forest in the State of Florida No. 23 (-6.5, 66)
3:30 p.m. ET on ABC, Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee

  • Wake Forest is 16-6 ATS against AP ranked teams under Dave Clawson.

  • Each of Wake Forest-Florida State’s last seven games has fallen below the total.

  • This is the first time under Mike Norvell that Florida State is a favorite against an AP ranked opponent.

  • Florida State has covered four consecutive ACC games from last season.

blankblank #17 Texas A&M in Mississippi (-3, 46)
4 p.m. ET on SEC Network, Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville

  • All four of Texas A&M’s games went under the total this season.

  • Texas A&M is 0-6 SU and 3-3 ATS as underdogs under Jimbo Fisher.

  • Mississippi State is 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS as a favorite in the SEC game under Mike Leach.

  • Mississippi has been 7-4 ATS to Texas A&M since FBS and FCS split in 1978.

blankblank No. 1 Georgia (-27.5, 54.5) in Missouri
7:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network, Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia

  • ACC teams are playing 13-20-1 ATS against non-conference opponents this season.

  • The 39-point spread is the widest for NC State as a favorite since FBS and FCS split in 1978.

  • NC State has been 9-3 ATS as the home favorite since the start of the 2020 season.

  • UConn is 14-30-1 ATS in non-conference games since the start of the 2013 season.

blankblank No. 10 NC State at No. 5 Clemson (-6.5, 42)
7:30 p.m. ET on ABC, Memorial Stadium, Clemson

  • Clemson is 19-7-1 ATS against AP Top 10 teams under Dabo Swinney.

  • Clemson is 9-2 ATS among AP Top 10 ACC teams under Dabo Swinney.

  • NC State has been 4-12 ATS in road games since the start of the 2019 season.

  • NC State is 0-3 SU and 2-1 ATS on the way against AP top 5 teams under Dave Doeren.

blankblank Georgia Tech in No. 24 Pittsburgh (-24, 50.5)
8 p.m. ET on ACC Network, Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh

  • Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS in home games this season.

  • Pittsburgh has been 4-0 ATS against Georgia Tech since the start of the 2018 season.

  • All four of Georgia Tech’s games this season have fallen below the total.

  • Georgia Tech is 3-10 ATS against AP-ranked teams for the past 5 seasons, the worst coverage percentage in the ACC over that span.

blankblank Arizona State ranked #6 USC (-26, 61.5)
10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles

  • All four of Arizona States’ games went under the total this season.

  • Arizona State has been 4-0 ATS against AP top 10 teams since the start of the 2016 season.

  • The 26-point spread is the biggest favorite USC has had in a Pac-12 game since 2017.

  • All four of USC’s games this season have gone below the total.

blankblank Stanford ranked 13th Oregon (-16.5, 62.5)
11 p.m. ET, Autzen Stadium, Eugene

  • Stanford is 3-15 ATS since the start of the 2019 season after a direct loss.

  • Stanford has been an underdog since the start of last season at 2-10 ATS.

  • Oregon have covered 4 straight games as home favorite.

  • Oregon is 9-15-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite for the past five seasons.

https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/34676789/college-football-week-5-betting-odds-tips-trends College football week 5 betting trends: Odds ATS, tips, stats

Emma Bowman

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