College football Week 7 betting trends: Odds ATS, tips, stats

Week 7 of the college football season brings some of the most iconic games of the year.

There are five matchups from teams ranked in the AP Top 25, including two games between teams ranked in the top 10. Across three games, undefeated powerhouses go head-to-head in three Power 5 conferences.

No. 10 Penn State travels to Ann Arbor to take on No. 5 Michigan in another Test for the Wolverines. Spencer Sanders and No. 8 Oklahoma State take on Max Duggan and No. 13 TCU Horned Frogs in an intense Big 12 battle. And of course we have the highly anticipated showdown between No. 3 Alabama and No. 6 Tennessee.

There’s a lot of games to bet on this weekend and we’ve got everything you need to make your betting decisions ahead of week 7.

View all betting notes and trends courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information.


Saturday

blank #10 Penn State at #5 Michigan (-7, 52)
12 p.m. ET, Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan

  • Michigan is 5-0-1 against the Unders this season, along with Colorado State and Georgia Tech for the most Unders with no overs in the FBS this season.

  • Michigan is 5-12 ATS against AP top 10 teams under Jim Harbaugh. Stanford was 3-1 ATS in such games under Harbaugh.

  • Michigan hasn’t been a bigger favorite against an AP top-10 team since Oct. 1, 2016, than then-No.8 Wisconsin (-11).

  • Penn State is 2-6 ATS against Michigan under James Franklin and 0-5 ATS as an underdog.

blankblank Maroon at No. 9 Ole Miss (-14, 54.5)
12 p.m. ET on ESPN, Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi

  • Auburn is 1-5 ATS this season, the worst coverage ratio in the SEC.

  • Each of the last four games between Auburn and Ole Miss has fallen an average of 15.9 PPG below the total

  • As of the start of the 2020 season, Auburn is 9-2 on the road and tied with the state of Oklahoma for the highest under-percentage on the road in the FBS in that span.

  • Ole Miss is 1-3 ATS as the home favorite this season, tied with Florida for the third-worst coverage percentage in the SEC.

blankblankNo. 19 Kansas in Oklahoma (-7.5, 64.5)
12 p.m. ET on ESPN2, Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma

  • Kansas is 5-0-1 ATS this season, tied with TCU and James Madison for best coverage percentage in FBS this season.

  • Kansas is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog.

  • Oklahoma has not marked against any team with a winning record (0-3 ATS) this season.

  • Oklahoma failed to mark in four of their last five games against Kansas.

blankblank State of Iowa at No. 22 Texas (-16.5, 49.5)
12 p.m. ET on ABC, DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas

  • Texas is 4-0 ATS at home this season and is one of two teams in the FBS with four wins at home.

  • Iowa State is 9-2 ATS as a double-digit underdog under Matt Campbell.

  • Since 2010, Texas has been the top favorite against Iowa State (-21).

  • Each of the last seven games between Iowa State and Texas has gone under the total.

blankblank Minnesota (-6.5) ranked 24th Illinois
12 p.m. ET, Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois

  • Minnesota is 4-1 ATS this season and 3-0 ATS as a road favorite since the start of last season.

  • Minnesota has been going 8-2 ATS since the start of the 2020 season, the best percentage of road coverage in the FBS over that span (min. 10 road games).

  • As of the start of the 2019 season, Minnesota is 9-1 ATS when playing after six or more rest days (had a bye in Week 6).

  • Illinois has covered each of its last three games as an underdog.

blankblankVanderbilt ranked #1 Georgia (-38, 58.5)
3:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network, Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia

  • Vanderbilt is 0-3 ATS as a double-digit underdog and against AP-ranked opponents this season.

  • As of the start of the 2017 season, Vanderbilt is 0-7 ATS against AP top 5 opponents.

  • Georgia has covered each of their last four games against Vanderbilt.

  • Georgia is known as the home favorite in the last six games with 1-5 ATS.

blankblank No. 3 Alabama (-7.5, 65.5) at No. 6 Tennessee
3:30 p.m. ET, Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee

  • Alabama was a favorite in 77 straight regular-season games against FBS opponents (excluding conference champion games) and had the longest such streak since the FBS and FCS split in 1978.

  • Alabama is 11-4 ATS against Tennessee under Nick Saban.

  • Tennessee is 0-5 ATS against AP top 5 teams since the start of the 2020 season.

  • Tennessee is 1-5 ATS as an underdog under Josh Heupel, the worst such coverage ratio in the SEC since the start of the 2021 season.

blankblank No. 8 Oklahoma State at No. 13 TCU (-3.5, 68.5)
3:30 p.m. ET on ABC, Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas

  • TCU is 4-0-1 ATS this season, tied with Kansas and James Madison for the best coverage percentage in the FBS.

  • Oklahoma State is 9-1-1 ATS in Big 12 play since the start of last season, the best such percentage of coverage in the Big 12 this span.

  • Oklahoma State has been going 6-0 ATS since the start of last season. That ties with Pittsburgh for the best percentage of road coverage over the period (min. 5 road games).

  • Oklahoma State has been 15-4-1 ATS versus AP ranked opponents since the start of the 2018 season. This is the best such coverage percentage in the Big 12 over the period.

blankblank No. 15 NC State at No. 18 Syracuse (-3.5, 44.5)
3:30 p.m. ET on the ACC network, JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, New York

  • As of the start of the 2019 season, NC State has been 4-13 ATS on the road. This is the second worst road coverage percentage in the FBS over this period.

  • NC State has been 3-9 ATS against AP ranked opponents since the start of the 2017 season.

  • Syracuse is 4-1 ATS this season, the second best coverage ratio in the ACC.

  • Syracuse is 6-0 ATS in October since the start of last season, best coverage in October FBS over that period (3 games min).

blankblank No. 25 James Madison (-10.5, 66.5) at Georgia Southern
4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia

  • James Madison is 5-0 ATS this season, tied with TCU and Kansas for the best coverage percentage in FBS this season.

  • James Madison is a double-digit favorite this season with 3-0 ATS.

  • James Madison is 2-0 ATS on the road this season.

  • Georgia Southern is a double-digit underdog going 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games.

blankblank No. 4 Clemson (-5/3/51) in the state of Florida
4 p.m. ET on ABC, Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida

  • Clemson has covered each of his last four games against Florida State.

  • Clemson has been 13-7 ATS as the road favorite since the start of the 2020 season.

  • Clemson has covered six of his last seven ACC games.

  • Florida State is 3-0 ATS against AP top 10 teams since the start of the 2020 season.

blankblank No. 16 Mississippi State (-7, 46.5) at No. 22 Kentucky
7:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network, Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky

  • Kentucky is 0-4 ATS since the start of last season after losing straight away.

  • Kentucky has been 4-0-1 ATS vs AP ranked opponents since the start of last season.

  • Kentucky has gone under the total in five of its six games this season.

  • The state of Mississippi has covered five of its last six road games.

blankblank #7 USC at #20 Utah (-3.5, 63)
8 p.m. ET, Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah

  • USC has been an underdog on the road since the start of the 2015 season with 3-12 ATS, the third-worst coverage percentage in the FBS for that span.

  • Utah is 3-0 ATS at home this season.

  • Utah is 11-2 ATS in October since the start of the 2018 season, the best October coverage percentage in the FBS over that period (min. 10 games).

  • Utah is 24-11 ATS in Pac-12 play since the start of the 2018 season, the best percentage of coverage in the Pac-12 that span.

https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/34775084/college-football-week-7-betting-odds-tips-trends College football Week 7 betting trends: Odds ATS, tips, stats

Emma Bowman

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