It’s a new week, the first full one of the second half of the season, and in ESPN’s standard leagues it means a brand new matchup in these head-to-head leagues. The Forecaster has been updated to bring you detailed predictions and analysis of the upcoming July 25-31 games, but let’s use this space to delve into some details on the add/drop front.
Gavin Lux, SS/2B/OF, Los Angeles Dodgers (36.7% available in ESPN leagues): As noted in said forecaster, the Dodgers have by far the most favorable matchups – as well as from a competitive all-around perspective – during this next seven-day scoring period, thanks to three home games against the worst of the majors Washington Nationals, followed by a four-game trip to Colorado’s Coors Field. These Coors games detract from the Dodgers pitchers’ matchups, and that they will be using a six-man rotation for the week dilutes the appeal of the starters from both a volume perspective and clouds who will fall into unfortunate Coors assignments, but things couldn’t come together much better than for the team’s sluggers. Freddie Freeman had a massive tear, a big part of why the team went into the All-Star break with a hot streak and then walked away with a four-game win over division rivals San Francisco Giants, but it has one Worth being exempt from the waiver wire from this roster.
Lux has to be a universal add-and-start given this schedule, having started in 15 of the team’s last 18 games, including 5 of 7 against left starters, not to mention being fifth in the batting order for two /sixth place of the last three. He’s a .308/.419/.577 hitter during that 18-game span and appears late in the three games he didn’t start.
Randal Grichuk, OF, Colorado Rockies (55.2% Available): The Rockies’ matchups aren’t doing as well as the Dodgers’ despite having six of their seven games at Coors Field, mostly because those Dodgers are simply the better team, but also because the Rockies need to put themselves together along the way, dealing with some pretty talented pitchers (notably Michael Kopech, Julio Urias, and Clayton Kershaw). Still, Rockies bat Capitalize on a week packed with Coors games, and that’s especially true for their lefties, a group that includes Kris Bryant (.345/.397/.621 odds against lefties this year), Brendan Rodgers (.330/.393/.547) and, yes, Grichuk (.313/.343/.525).
Grichuk may be in the midst of a seriously disappointing first year in Colorado, but two things he’s excelled at are these types of matchups — home games, as he’s batted at .295/.326/.479 against left-handers on top of the odds above , after starting 35 of 38 Rockies games against lefties. Grichuk and all your normal Rockies need to be active everywhere in week 15.
George Kirby, SP, Seattle Mariners (78.9% Available): The Mariners are expected to recall Kirby from Triple-A Tacoma Tuesday and set him up for a two-start week, with matchups at home against the Texas Rangers and away against the Houston Astros. While the latter task presents a challenge — the Astros have an above-average runs-per-game average, are a top-five offensive player at contact and started the second half on a five-game win streak — the added volume makes a difference as a workload concern -Krug like Kirby a more attractive addition and a start. He had as much success with his fastball in his rookie year as fellow rotationist Logan Gilbert did his final season and was shown to have the best control of any pitcher in baseball in 2022 with a walk rate of just 3.3% .
Kirby is almost certain his innings will be capped, probably around 140 at most, having thrown just 67 2/3 between High Class A and Double-A-Ball in 2021. Still, that would net him about another 49 of the Mariners’ last 66 games this season, meaning the slowdown/shutdown process is likely to continue for a few more weeks. From the looks of it, the Mariners don’t have another ideal time in their schedule to skip him entirely for another month, so this is a prime time to get him.
George Kirby and Drew Rasmussen’s fantasy value was slightly challenged ahead of the All-Star break, but both right-handers appear on track to deliver solid second halves. Video by Tristan H Cockcroft
Additional Notes on Week 15: The St. Louis Cardinals will be without Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt in Toronto on Tuesday and Wednesday. It’s a significant disadvantage for the team’s offense, especially on a five-game schedule, and it should affect your weekly league decisions Everyone your Cardinals hitter. Brendan Donovan, who has several spots to squeeze into the lineup, is likely the hitter most likely to benefit from the expanded opportunity, but even he’s only a .184/.328/.184 hitter in 15 games in July who ain’t a great pickup.
Leody Taveras may have taken quite a while to figure things out at the big league level, an unsurprising development given the swing-and-miss nature of his game, but he seems to have come at a good time in the league lately come The Texas Rangers schedule. He’s increased his zone contact rate by more than 6% this season, helping him hit .420 (21-50) in his last 14 games. Statcast says he’s still performing well over his head, his xBA still only 0.256, but even that’s up nearly 30 points, and he continues to show one of the fastest speeds in the game. His Rangers are in the middle of an 18-day stretch (14 of them remaining) and 34 of 35 without a day off, so this is a good time to join him in mixed leagues.
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/baseball/story/_/id/34293616/fantasy-baseball-pickups-your-attention-coors-field-week Fantasy baseball pickups – Your attention should be on Coors Field this week