The Bet: Kansas City Chiefs Under-10.5 to Win (-105)
In the best case: Kansas City had the second-healthiest offense and third-healthiest defense last season. It has the toughest schedule in the league this season, playing the AFC South and NFC West, as well as the Bills, Bucs and Bengals. Oh, and don’t forget the Chiefs division. Every team in the AFC West has significantly improved their rosters. Meanwhile, the Chiefs lost two key players in wide receiver Tyreek Hill and safety Tyrann Mathieu. While the Chiefs added three additional receivers this offseason, the cards feel stacked against them in terms of natural regression, a tough schedule, and injury luck.
Worst case: While the Chiefs’ offense declined last season and their defense ranked in the bottom 10 in the league for defensive efficiency, they still finished the season with 12 wins. There’s a chance the Chiefs will remain dominant in a loaded AFC West, but it feels like the Stars will have to line up for them in that capacity.
bet spin: Kansas City has over 10.5 wins in seven of the nine seasons under head coach Andy Reid. The Chiefs have also had 10.5+ wins in all four seasons under Patrick Mahomes and Reid. It’s a tough sell since the Chiefs were dominant with a Super Bowl win and another Super Bowl appearance the following season under Mahomes and Reid. With that in mind, I believe the Chiefs will go below 10.5.
https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/34426965/the-case-betting-105-wins-kansas-city-chiefs The case for betting under 10.5 wins for the Kansas City Chiefs