WA Poll: Murray leads Smiley in Washington Senate race

51% of respondents said they would vote for Murray, a Democrat, while 33% said they would vote for Smiley, a Republican. However, 16% said they were undecided.

SEATTLE — If the November election were held now, more people would vote for incumbent Senator Patty Murray than challenger Tiffany Smiley, according to WA poll results released Thursday.

Of those polled, 51% said they would vote for Murray, a Democrat, while 33% said they would vote for Smiley, a Republican. However, 16% said they were undecided.

The WA survey was commissioned by KING 5, The Seattle Times, the University of Washington’s Center for an Informed Public, and Washington State University’s Murrow College of Communication, and conducted by SurveyUSA.

Both men and women said they would vote for Murray over Smiley, with 42% of men and 60% of women saying so. Overall, 83% of Smiley supporters said they were Republicans, while 87% of Murray supporters said they were Democrats.

“Well obviously it’s a very compelling lead. But so much can change,” said Gary Locke, former Washington governor and political analyst for KING 5. “Patty Murray has a very good lead, I think, and you have to include the independents as well. There are still people who are undecided and will only make up their minds shortly before the election.”

Among voters who said abortion was their number one issue in this election, 72% support Murray. Murray also leads with voters saying climate change and guns are top issues.

“Certainly, Democrats will focus on the Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade. It was quite a shocking legal decision, wiping out 50 years of Supreme Court decisions by conservative and liberal judges,” Locke said. “I think people want to know that their nominee will try to provide some protection at the federal level, or certainly fund women to have the right to use abortion services if they so choose.”

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However, voters who say inflation, border security and crime all said they prefer Smiley, with 54% of voters focusing on and supporting inflation.

“This is about inflation,” said Scott McClellan, former White House press secretary for President Bush. “So I think you’re going to see a lot of Republican focus that this is about the economy.”

Murray is pursuing her sixth term as a senator in a race that drew more than a dozen challengers.

Smiley, a veterans attorney and former Pasco nurse, has raised $4.2 million, while Murray has a significant financial benefit of $11.6 million.

“A lot can happen between now and November in terms of the economy, what’s happening in terms of inflation and the prices of everyday goods and quite frankly what’s happening internationally. Whether it’s Ukraine, trade with China, and of course, the results of the Jan. 6 hearing,” Locke said.

The Washington state primary is on August 2nd and the general election is on November 2nd.

The WA survey was commissioned by KING 5, The Seattle Times, the University of Washington’s Center for an Informed Public, and Washington State University’s Murrow College of Communication, and conducted by SurveyUSA. It surveyed 825 adults from July 6 to 10, 2022. Of these adults, 731 were registered voters. The survey represented Washington state demographics with 47% from the Seattle area, 32% from western Washington, and 21% from eastern Washington.

Download our free KING 5 app to keep up with news from across western Washington.

https://www.king5.com/article/news/politics/patty-murray-tiffany-smiley-wa-poll/281-245a61f3-e6c0-4ff6-a987-e7db90624f77 WA Poll: Murray leads Smiley in Washington Senate race

Alley Einstein

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