Wimbledon 2022 – Ons Jabeur? Elena Rybakina? Who will win the women’s final?

On Saturday, when Ons Jabeur and Elena Rybakina meet on Center Court, there will be a new name on the Wimbledon women’s singles trophy and a new Grand Slam champion.

It’s a first Slam final for both players and both women can make history. A win for Tunisia’s Jabeur would make her the first Arab and first North African woman to win a Grand Slam title, while a win for Rybakina would make her the first player to represent Kazakhstan and enjoy Grand Slam glory.

Jabeur, No. 3, didn’t lose a set in her first four games but was pushed to a decider in the last two, while Rybakina, No. 17, defeated two Grand Slam champions in Bianca Andreescu and Simona Halep.

Jabeur leads Rybakina 2-1 in the previous three games, although one of their wins came when Rybakina retired injured. Nervousness is guaranteed on both sides at the biggest event of their lives. The question is: who will handle the occasion best?


Why Ons Jabeur will win

As a young child, Jabeur was nicknamed Roger Federer for her incredible manual skills and ability to capture shots few people have seen before.

The Tunisian has been going through her bag of tricks all fortnight and while she’s equally at home on clay, grass seems to give her the best chance of victory.

She lost two sets, but she was never upset. Instead, she changed the tempo, played the angles, snuck onto the net and confused her opponent. Though Rybakina will bring the heat in the form of sheer power, Jabeur appears to have the skills to handle it.

Her second serve is relatively slow, but varied and she underpins it incredibly well. In fact, in those two weeks, she won a higher percentage of points on her second serve (63%) than any other woman.

More importantly, over the last few years she has learned to accept the fact that she plays for more than herself and is leading the way for Arabic and African tennis. As she said on the eve of Wimbledon, “I’m on a mission.”


Why Elena Rybakina will win

Simply put, if Rybakina plays like she did against Simona Halep in the semifinals, she will take a break.

The 23-year-old has a raw power that even someone of Halep’s caliber couldn’t handle. As Halep’s coach Patrick Mouratoglou told TennisMajors.com, “She played almost the perfect match.”

The danger, of course, will be that she will struggle to follow that win with another performance like this on the biggest stage of them all.

But Rybakina, who also defeated former US Open champion Bianca Andreescu earlier in the tournament, is a so-so player who can pose a threat to any opponent if a positive streak lasts long enough.

She’s fourth in first serve points won and third in service games won, and her total of 49 aces is 19 more than any other player, at an average of more than eight per game.

In theory, she has nothing to lose. She’s the underdog and isn’t expected to win, which should take some of the pressure off her shoulders. That makes her dangerous.


What will happen?

The $2 Million Question. It’s entirely possible that Rybakina will come out firing, serving up rockets and blasting Jabeur off the pitch. However, Jabeur is more likely to find a solution that absorbs power and finds a way to win. It could go the distance but Jabeur should win.

https://www.espn.com/tennis/story/_/id/34211640/wimbledon-2022-ons-jabeur-elena-rybakina-win-women-final Wimbledon 2022 – Ons Jabeur? Elena Rybakina? Who will win the women’s final?

Emma Bowman

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