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WNBA fantasy and betting tips for Sunday

Each day of the WNBA season, our team of fantasy and betting experts breaks down every game on the board, noting everything from injuries and lineup changes to current trends and more.

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. The times are ET.

Here’s what to look for in today’s slate:


blank Washington Mystics at Connecticut Sun
1 p.m., Uncasville, Connecticut

line: Sun (-6.5)
money line: Sun (-285), Mystic (+228)
In total: 159.5 points
BPI Profit Prediction: Sun (74.8%)

Questionable: none

Excluded: Elena Delle Donne, Kiara Smith

Fantasy you have to know: The Sun hosts the Mystics, two 13-win teams just a few seasons away from facing off in the 2019 WNBA Finals. The Sun has taken a small bump in the road, losing three of their last four games, while the Mystics have just won two games in a row. The Mystics have averaged 89.5 points per game over their last two games, which is well above their previous season average (78.7). However, Elena Delle Donne will be out for this game, which will affect offense and player rotation for Washington. On the other hand, the Sun offensive has struggled in the last four games, averaging 77.3 points and finishing 10th in the league in that span.

With Delle Donne out due to load management, rookie Shakira Austin should get more playing time and more touches (available in 58.3% of leagues). When Delle Donne isn’t on the lineup, Austin averages 8.4 PPG and 7.5 RPG, both of which are above average when Delle Donne is on the lineup. She has two double-doubles this season and the first came without Delle Donne in the lineup and the other came when Delle Donne only scored 7 points. In both situations, Austin was pushed into a larger role as a rebounder and goalscorer.

Another option would be to play Alysha Clark, who is a starter for the team and the 4th top scorer for the Mystics (available in 54.6% of leagues). She will also be more attacking if Delle Donne is out. In the six games without her this season, Clark has topped the box score averaging 7.2 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 2.2 APG and she has hit three-pointers in five of those six games.

As for the Connecticut Sun, their top five scorers are all in at least 80% of the leagues, so there aren’t many options to choose from there. Natisha Hiedeman is the best option on the team as she has started in 15 games this season and is averaging 8.3 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 3.1 APG and she has a team high of 29 three- Score points scored.

Best bid: Under 159.5

With the Sun in a slump heading into this game and the Mystics without Delle Donne, I’d say the best bet in this game is the under. As previously mentioned, the Sun has lost three of its last four and is averaging just 77.3 PPG over that span. And the Mystics won’t have a top scorer to slow down their offensive offense that’s been burning for the last two games. Furthermore, earlier this year these two teams have both played each other, they have reached the Under and neither team has broken the 80 point mark. – Jenni LaCroix

blankblank Seattle Storm at the Atlanta Dream
3 p.m. College Park, Georgia

line: Storm (-5.5)
money line: Storm (-225), Dream (+185)
In total: 157.5 points
BPI Profit Prediction: Storm (57.6%)

Questionable: Nia coffee

Excluded: Mercedes Russel

Fantasy you have to know: Seattle has been gaining traction in the final games leading up to All-Star Weekend, going 8-2 in the last 10 games after the season started, 5-5. The Dream, on the other hand, is going in the opposite direction, leading 2-7 in the last nine games. Atlanta has struggled with injuries this season, but the pieces could come together again as Tiffany Hayes made her season debut in her last game against the Liberty and Nia Coffey may be coming back from the knee injury that has kept her out of the last five games (Status : Day to day). This matchup will feature four 2022 All-Stars: Breanna Stewart, Sue Bird, Jewell Loyd and rookie guard Rhyne Howard.

The top pick for the Atlanta Dream would be Tiffany Hayes (available in 32.9% of leagues). She’s back from a knee injury and missed the first 20 games of the season so she doesn’t feature in as many leagues. In her season debut against the Liberty on June 30, she dropped 21 points and 3 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal and went by the net 4-6. And that’s not just a one-time accomplishment for Hayes, last season she did a little bit of everything, averaging 14.7 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.1 APG, 1.6 SPG, and she has 34 3-pointers – Scored.

Atlanta has a deep bench and lots of players that contribute that aren’t heavily staffed in many leagues. The Dream Bank is averaging 25.1 PPG this season, the most in the league. Aari McDonald is usually off the bench and is available in 53.5% of leagues. This season she has averaged 11.2 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 2.9 APG and 1.8 SPG. The Dream also acquired AD Durr from Liberty on June 8th, and Durr made an immediate impression, with three 20-point games and averaging 13.1 PPG, 2.1 RPG, and 2.3 APG.

Seattle’s Stewart, Bird, Loyd and Ezi Magbegor are all in 89% or more of leagues, but one starter that’s fairly common is Gabby Williams (available in 72.6% of leagues). Over the past five games, Williams has topped out the box score more than usual, averaging 11.0 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 2.6 APG, and 0.6 SPG. She’s had three games with double-digit chances in her last five games and before that she hadn’t scored a double-digit goal at all this season.

play

0:24

Gabby Williams gets the pass from Sue Bird and goes up through contact to trip the hard and-1 layup.

Best bid: Storm (-225)

I mentioned earlier that the Storm has found its stride in the last two games and is 8-2 in that span, which is tied with Chicago for the best record in the league since June 7. Seattle has also won seven straight games against Atlanta dating back to 2019 and they’ve won by an average margin of +15.0 PPG. The Storm is also 10-4 against teams with a losing record (based on current win percentage, Not at the time of the game). The Dream haven’t been very good this season either against teams that are .500 or better, they’re 0-9 in these matchups tied with the Lynx for the worst record of its kind in the league. – LaCroix

blankblank New York Liberty at Los Angeles Sparks
6 p.m. Los Angeles

line: Spark (-4)
money line: Spark (-180), Freedom (+152)
In total: 162.5 points
BPI Profit Prediction: Spark (64.3%)

Questionable: Rebekah Allen

Excluded: Betniyah Laney, Sami Whitcomb, Brittney Sykes, Rae Burrell

Fantasy you have to know: Sami Whitcomb will sit out Sunday’s game to rest, giving Marine Johannes (available in 82.2% of leagues) more time and opportunities. Johannes has already started the last five games and has averaged 15.8 PPG, 4.0 APG, 4.0 3PG, 1.8 RPG and 0.5 SPG in 34.5 MPG in her last four games.

Lexie Brown (available in 93.1% of leagues) started the last game with Brittney Sykes (COVID-19). Sykes will also miss Sunday’s game. Brown has played well in two straight games, averaging 15.0 PPG, 4.0 3PG, 2.5 RPG, 1.0 APG, and 0.5 SPG in 27.5 MPG in her last two games.

Best bid: Freedom +4

These two teams have the same record, but the Liberty played a little better at the last longer stretch. Both have won three of their last five games, but the Liberty are +8 overall at this stretch while the Sparks are -11. Similarly, the Liberty are 7-4 over their last 11 while the Sparks are 5-6. When two teams play similarly, I tend to take the points in the duel, especially if the team that played a little better scores points. -Andre Snellings

blankblankLas Vegas aces at Minnesota Lynx
7 p.m. Minneapolis

line: Aces (-5.5)
money line: Aces (-225), Lynx (+185)
In total: 174.5 points
BPI Profit Prediction: Aces (52.8%)

Questionable: none

Excluded: none

Fantasy you have to know: A’ja Wilson is heading into the All-Star break with an MVP push, averaging well over 20-10 in her last eight games, averaging 21.9 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 2 .4 BPG, 1.6 APG, 1.5 SPG and 1.4 3PG scored . She leads one of the most dominant starting fives in the WNBA, with all five players on the roster generally. So start them off with confidence and expect them to live up to expectations.

Sylvia Fowles still appears to be in game form as they approach the break and has averaged just 20.5mpg in her four starts since returning from a knee injury. Moriah Jefferson (available in 54.3% of leagues) continues to be the engine behind the Lynx, averaging 16.7 PPG, 6.3 APG, 3.8 RPG, 2.2 3PG and 1.0 SPG in 30.7 MPG in their last six appearances.

Best bid: Over 175.0

The fourth meeting of these two teams this season will take place on Sunday. Their combined score has averaged 182.3 PPG in their previous matchups, and they have accumulated over 175.0 points in every game to date. There is no reason to expect this trend to change on Sunday. – Snellings

https://www.espn.com/fantasy/womens-basketball/story/_/id/34188488/wnba-fantasy-betting-tips-sunday WNBA fantasy and betting tips for Sunday

Emma Bowman

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